Southampton looks for a win after quite a dry spell as they host Watford this Saturday afternoon at St. Mary’s Stadium.
Let’s take a closer look at where the value is at in this matchup.
Team to Win (Regular Time)
•Southampton FC: 2.15
•Watford FC: 3.57
•Southampton FC -0.5: 2.14
•Watford FC +0.5: 1.80
•Over 2.5: 1.99
•Under 2.5: 1.91
Key Points to Consider
Last 6: Southampton, coming off a 2-2 road draw vs Arsenal, have 2 draws and 4 losses in their last six overall. Watford, coming off a 0-3 home loss vs Burnley, have 3 losses, 1 win and 2 draws in their last 6.
Some Numbers: Despite having the second-most losses in the league, Southampton’s defense has been relatively solid. They are No. 4 in the league in clearances, and No. 4 in the league in tackles. Definitely a sign they are attacked early and often, but at least there’s some resistance.
Head-to-Head: These two sides last matched up in Premier League action on April 23, 2019 when they finished in a 1-1 draw. They have finished in a 1-1 draw their last two matchups in the Prem.
Gerard Lazaro has a 25-to-26 percent chance to score for Watford. He averages 2.21 shots overall per sim, 0.89 shots on goal per and 0.30 goals per sim.
Danny Ings has a 49+ percent chance to score for Southampton. He averages 4.17 shots overall per sim, 1.75 shots on goal per and 0.68 goals per sim.
Southampton to win.
Odds indicate Southampton have a 46.5 percent chance of winning. They win close to 59 percent of simulations, suggesting quite a bit of added side value on the pick. This is a four-star (out of four) hot trend pick.
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