Australia looks to get back on track when they collide with Tunisia in 2022 FIFA World Cup Group D action on Saturday.
Australia took a 1-0 lead against France, but the defending World Champions proved to be too much for them as the game progressed and they lost 4-1 on Tuesday.
Tunisia is coming off a surprising 0-0 draw against Denmark on Tuesday. On paper, Denmark was the better team and should have taken care of business, but Tunisia put up a fight and played a very smart game, coming with away with a valuable point.
The player to watch in this game is Martin Boyle, who has five goals and one assist in 12 Scottish Premiership games with Hibernian this season. AccuScore gives Martin Boyle a 40.2 percent chance to score against Tunisia.
FBRef defines SCA as “the two offensive actions leading directly to a shot, such as passes, dribbles and drawing fouls.” GCA is “the two offensive actions leading directly to a goal, such as passes, dribbles and drawing fouls.” Let’s take a closer look at where the value is at in this matchup.
DafaNews Picks
Team to Win (Regular Time)
• Tunisia 2.17
• Australia 3.30
• Draw 3.75
Spread
• Tunisia 0, -0.5 (1.85)
• Australia 0, +0.5 (2.07)
Total
• Over 2, 2.5 (2.05)
• Under 2, 2.5 (1.85)
Key Points to Consider
Head-to-Head: These two teams last met in FIFA Confederations action on June 21, 2005 and Tunisia won 2-0.
Projected Leaders
For Tunisia, Youssef Msakni has a 19.6 percent chance to score. He averages 2.48 shots overall per sim, 0.68 shots on goal per and 0.22 goals per sim.
For Australia, Martin Boyle has a 40.2 percent chance to net the ball. He averages 1.22 shots overall per sim, 0.7 shots on goal per and 0.51 goals per sim.
Analyst’s Pick
This game has Under written all over it. Tunisia defends well and Australia knows that this is a must-win game for both teams, which means that they will make sure they do a better job on defense.
Under 2, 2.5 (1.85)
Two-star (out of four) AccuScore hot trend pick on Tunisia in this one. Average score in simulations is Tunisia 1.03 to Australia 0.86.
