Southampton faces a very tough test on Saturday when they host a red-hot Manchester City squad that has won 12 straight Premier League games. Manchester City is coming off a 1-0 home win against Chelsea last Saturday while Southampton lost 3-1 against Wolverhampton Wanderers on the road on Saturday. Manchester City leads the Premier League standings with 56 points in 22 games while Southampton is in 12th place with 24 points in 21 games.
The player to watch in this game is Raheem Sterling, who has seven goals and one assist in 18 Premier League games this season. AccuScore gives Sterling a 32.06 percent chance to score against Southampton. He has 49 SCA and 2 GCA in 18 Premier League games this season.
FBRef defines SCA as “the two offensive actions leading directly to a shot, such as passes, dribbles and drawing fouls.” GCA is “the two offensive actions leading directly to a goal, such as passes, dribbles and drawing fouls.” Let’s take a closer look at where the value is at in this matchup. .
DafaNews Picks
Team to Win (Regular Time)
• Southampton: 9.60
• Manchester City: 1.29
• Draw: 6.00
Spread
• Southampton: +1.5, +2: 1.87
• Manchester City: -1.5, -2: 2.06
Total
• Over 3: 1.84
• Under 3: 2.06
Key Points to Consider
Last 5: Southampton, coming off a 3-1 road loss against Wolverhampton Wanderers on Saturday, have 3 wins, 1 loss and 1 draw in their last 5 Premier League games. Manchester City, coming off a 1-0 home win against Chelsea on Saturday, have 12 wins in their last 12 Premier League games.
Momentum: Manchester City has been on an upward trend — with 12 wins in their last 12 Premier League games.
Head-to-Head: These two sides last matched up in Premier League action on September 18, 2021 and the game ended in a 0-0 draw.
Projected Leaders
For Southampton, Armando Broja has a 16.4 percent chance to score. He averages 0.63 shots overall per sim, 0.4 shots on goal per and 0.18 goals per sim.
For Manchester City, Raheem Sterling has a 32.06 percent chance to net the ball. He averages 1.76 shots overall per sim, 1.03 shots on goal per and 0.38 goals per sim.
Analyst’s Pick
Manchester City Moneyline.
Four-star (out of four) AccuScore hot trend pick on Manchester City in this one. Average score in simulations is Manchester City 2.14 to Southampton 0.68.
