Two teams coming off disappointing losses clash when Southampton hosts Aston Villa at St Mary’s Stadium on Saturday.
Southampton is coming off a 2-1 loss against Burnley on Saturday while Aston Villa fell 3-2 against Tottenham Hotspur on Sunday. Aston Villa is just one point ahead of the relegation spots and they need to grab at least one point in this contest.
Let’s take a closer look at where the value is at in this matchup.
Dafabet Picks
Team to Win (Regular Time)
• Southampton: 1.64
• Draw: 4.35
• Aston Villa: 5.27
Spread
• Southampton -1: 2.07
• Aston Villa +1: 1.86
Total
• Over 3: 2.05
• Under 3: 1.85
Key Points to Consider
Last 6: Southampton, coming off a 2-1 loss vs Burnley in the Premier League, have 4 losses, 1 win and 1 draw in their last 6 overall. Aston Villa, coming off a 3-2 loss against Tottenham Hotspur, have 3 losses, 2 wins and 1 draw in their last 6 overall.
Momentum: Southampton has been on a downward trend — with 3 straight losses in the Premier League.
Head-to-Head: These two sides last matched up in Premier League action on Dec. 21, 2019 and Southampton won 3-1.
Projected Leaders
For Southampton, Danny Ings has a 47.44 percent chance to score. He averages 3.01 shots overall per sim, 1.39 shots on goal per and 0.64 goals per sim.
For Aston Villa, Jack Grealish has a 24.8 percent chance to net the ball. He averages 1.97 shots overall per sim, 0.62 shots on goal per and 0.29 goals per sim.
Analyst’s Pick
The Under.
Four-star (out of four) AccuScore hot trend pick on the total in this one. Average total score in simulations is 2.45.
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