A pair of teams look to get back on the win column this weekend as Sheffield United and Burnley match up at Bramall Lane.
Let’s take a closer look at where the value is at in this matchup.
Team to Win (Regular Time)
•Sheffield United: 2.19
•Burnley FC: 3.68
•Sheffield United -0.5: 2.17
•Burnley FC +0.5: 1.78
•Over 2.5: 2.38
•Under 2.5: 1.62
Key Points to Consider
Last 6: Sheffield United, coming off a 1-1 road draw vs West Ham, have 2 wins, 2 draws and 2 losses in their last six overall. Burnley, fresh off a 4-2 home loss vs Chelsea, have 2 losses, 2 wins and 2 draws also in their last six overall.
Easy to Defend: No matter how in tune a defense is, defending a well-timed pass is always more difficult than defending someone 1:1, man-to-man. Burnley is last in the league in terms of total passes, suggesting a lot more 1-on-1 attacking as opposed to passing/sharing the ball.
Efficiency: Burnley is No. 14 in the league in shots overall, but No. 8 in the league in goals scored. Efficient.
Head-to-Head: These two sides last met in any competition back in January 2011 (League Championship). Burnley won, 4-2.
For Burnley, Jay Rodriguez has a 32-to-33 percent chance to score. Rodriguez averages 1.46 shots overall per sim, 0.66 shots on goal per and 0.40 goals per sim.
For Sheffield United, Callum Robinson has a 27 percent chance to score. Robinson averages 2.11 shots overall per sim, 0.90 shots on goal per and 0.31 goals per sim.
All the side value in this matchup is on Burnley. They win more simulated matchups than do Burnley, the odds-on favorites in most books. We will gladly take the points and hope for a tie at the worst.
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