La Liga returned last week and we will have a very interesting game when Sevilla hosts FC Barcelona on Friday. There were many safety protocols in place, just like the Bundesliga had.
For example, La Liga games were played behind closed doors and each team had five substitutions. The competition resumes after it was postponed on March 12th because of the COVID-19 pandemic.
Sevilla is in third place with 51 points in 29 games while FC Barcelona is in first place in the standings, 13 points ahead of them. Sevilla is coming off a 1-1 road draw against Levante on Monday while FC Barcelona beat CD Leganes 2-0 at home last Tuesday.
Let’s take a closer look at where the value is at in this matchup.
Dafabet Picks
Team to Win (Regular Time)
• Sevilla: 4.10
• FC Barcelona: 1.88
• Draw: 3.95
Spread
• Sevilla: +0.5, +1 (1.83)
• FC Barcelona: -0.5, -1 (2.07)
Total
• Over 3 (2.05)
• Under 3 (1.85)
Key Points to Consider
Last 6: Sevilla, coming off a 1-1 road draw vs Levante, have 3 wins, 3 draws and 0 losses in their last 6 overall. FC Barcelona, coming off a 2-0 home win vs CD Leganes, have 4 wins, 1 loss and 1 draw in their last 6 overall.
Momentum: FC Barcelona has been on an upward trend — winning their last 3 games in La Liga.
Head-to-Head: These two sides last matched up in La Liga action on Oct. 6, 2019 and FC Barcelona won 4-0.
Projected Leaders
For Sevilla, Luuk de Jong has a 47.74 percent chance to score. He averages 3.19 shots overall per sim, 1.56 shots on goal per and 0.64 goals per sim.
For FC Barcelona, Lionel Messi has a 54.24 percent chance to net the ball. He averages 3.48 shots overall per sim, 1.75 shots on goal per and 0.77 goals per sim.
Analyst’s Pick
Sevilla +0.5, +1.
Three-star (out of four) AccuScore hot trend pick on Sevilla in this one. Average score in simulations is FC Barcelona 1.64 to Sevilla 1.41.
