Paris Saint-Germain hosts Montpellier in a very intriguing Ligue 1 game on Saturday. Paris Saint-Germain is coming off a 5-0 road win against Clermont on Saturday while Montpellier is coming off a 3-2 home win against Troyes last Sunday.
As of this writing, Paris Saint-Germain leads the Ligue 1 standings with three points in one game while Clermont is in third place with three points in one game.
The player to watch in this game is Lionel Messi, who has two goals and one assist in 1 Ligue 1 game this season. AccuScore gives Messi a 37.26 percent chance to score against Montpellier. He has 11 SCA and 2 GCA in 1 Ligue 1 game this season.
FBRef defines SCA as “the two offensive actions leading directly to a shot, such as passes, dribbles and drawing fouls.” GCA is “the two offensive actions leading directly to a goal, such as passes, dribbles and drawing fouls.” Let’s take a closer look at where the value is at in this matchup.
DafaNews Picks
Team to Win (Regular Time)
• Paris Saint-Germain: 1.11
• Montpellier: 20.00
• Draw: 10.00
Spread
• Paris Saint-Germain: -2.5, -3: 2.03
• Montpellier: +2.5, +3: 1.89
Total
• Over 4: 1.93
• Under 4: 1.97
Key Points to Consider
Head-to-Head: These two sides last matched up in Ligue 1 action on May 14 and Paris Saint-Germain won 4-0.
Projected Leaders
For Paris Saint-Germain, Kylian Mbappe has a 71.2 percent chance to score. He averages 5.86 shots overall per sim, 3.2 shots on goal per and 1.24 goals per sim.
For Montpellier, Wahbi Khazri has a 12.8 percent chance to net the ball. He averages 0.92 shots overall per sim, 0.38 shots on goal per and 0.14 goals per sim.
Analyst’s Pick
Paris Saint-Germain Moneyline.
Two-star (out of four) AccuScore hot trend pick on Paris Saint-Germain in this one. Average score in simulations is Paris Saint-Germain 3.6 to Montpellier 0.29.
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