Nottingham Forest hosts Arsenal in what promises to be an entertaining Premier League game on Saturday. Nottingham Forest is coming off a 2-2 road draw against Chelsea on Saturday while Arsenal lost 3-0 at home against Brighton & Hove Albion on Sunday.
Arsenal is in second place in the Premier League standings with 81 points in 36 games while Nottingham Forest is in 16th place with 34 points in 36 games.
The player to watch in this game is Gabriel Martinelli, who has 15 goals and five assists in 36 Premier League games this season. AccuScore gives Gabriel Martinelli a 38.94 percent chance to score against Nottingham Forest. He has 127 SCA and 17 GCA in 36 Premier League games this season.
FBRef defines SCA as “the two offensive actions leading directly to a shot, such as passes, dribbles and drawing fouls.” GCA is “the two offensive actions leading directly to a goal, such as passes, dribbles and drawing fouls.” Let’s take a closer look at where the value is at in this matchup.
DafaNews Picks
Team to Win (Regular Time)
• Nottingham Forest 6.60
• Arsenal 1.45
• Draw: 4.90
Spread
• Nottingham Forest +1, +1.5 (1.88)
• Arsenal -1, -1.5 (1.93)
Total
• Over 3 (1.91)
• Under 3 (1.90)
Key Points to Consider
Head-to-Head: These two sides last matched up in Premier League action on October 30 and Arsenal won 5-0.
Projected Leaders
For Nottingham Forest, Taiwo Awoniyi has a 20.3 percent chance to net the ball. He averages 1.22 shots overall per sim, 0.54 shots on goal per and 0.23 goals per sim.
For Arsenal, Gabriel Martinelli has a 38.94 percent chance to score. He averages 1.55 shots overall per sim, 0.84 shots on goal per and 0.49 goals per sim.
Analyst’s Pick
Arsenal 1.45
Three-star (out of four) AccuScore hot trend pick on Arsenal in this one. Average score in simulations is Arsenal 2.4 to Nottingham Forest 1.04.
