The Premier League is finally back! The games will be played behind closed doors because of the COVID-19 pandemic and we will have an unbelievable contest on Friday, when Norwich City hosts Southampton.
Norwich City is in last place with 21 points in 29 games, six points behind Watford for 17th place. To say that they need to win this game would be an understatement. Southampton, on the other hand, is 14th with 34 points in 29 games. Norwich City is coming off a 1-0 road loss against Sheffield United on March 7 while Southampton lost 1-0 against Newcastle United at home on March 7.
Let’s take a closer look at where the value is at in this matchup.
Dafabet Picks
Team to Win (Regular Time)
• Norwich City: 3.20
• Southampton: 2.18
• Draw: 3.60
Spread
• Norwich City: 0, +0.5 (2.02)
• Southampton: 0, -0.5 (1.91)
Total
• Over 2.5, 3 (2.01)
• Under 2.5, 3. (1.89)
Key Points to Consider
Last 6: Norwich City, coming off a 1-0 road loss vs Sheffield United, have 3 losses, 2 draws and 1 win in their last 6 overall. Southampton, coming off a 1-0 home loss vs Newcastle United, have 4 losses, 1 win and 1 draw in their last 6 overall.
Momentum: Southampton has been on a downward trend — losing 3 of their last 4 games in the Premier League.
Head-to-Head: These two sides last matched up in Premier League action on Dec. 4, 2019 and Southampton won 2-1.
Projected Leaders
For Norwich City, Teemu Pukki has a 45.02 percent chance to score. He averages 3.09 shots overall per sim, 1.32 shots on goal per and 0.59 goals per sim.
For Southampton, Danny Ings has a 43.6 percent chance to net the ball. He averages 2.91 shots overall per sim, 1.16 shots on goal per and 0.57 goals per sim.
Analyst’s Pick
Norwich City 0, +0.5.
Four-star (out of four) AccuScore hot trend pick on Arsenal in this one. Average score in simulations is Norwich City 1.72 to Southampton 1.57.
