Norwich City and Newcastle go head-to-head this Saturday afternoon at St. James’ Park.
Let’s take a closer look at where the value is at in this matchup.
Team to Win (Regular Time)
• Newcastle: 2.25
• Draw: 3.44
• Norwich City: 3.39
• Newcastle -0.5: 2.21
• Norwich City +0.5: 1.75
• Over 2.5: 2.01
• Under 2.5: 1.89
Key Points to Consider
Must Win: Norwich City haven’t won a league fixture since Dec. 15 when they recorded a 2-1 win over Wigan. They are expected to be on top form this weekend given the rest they got last weekend vs Peterborough United.
On the Other Hand: Newcastle is playing for survival, literally. They are now on a streak of four straight losses as they sit just 2 points above the relegation zone.
Head-to-Head: These two sides last matched up on Aug. 17, 2019 when Norwich City won, 3-1.
For Norwich City, Teemu Pukki has a 49% chance to score. He averages 3.5 shots overall per sim, 1.51 shots on goal per and 0.68 goals per sim.
For Newcastle, Ciaran Clark has a 30% chance to score. He averages 0.64 shots overall per sim, 0.45 shots on goal per and 0.35 goals per sim.
Norwich City +0.5
Four-star (out of four) AccuScore hot trend pick on the side value here on Norwich. Sim data projects this fixture being far more competitive than odds-makers are suggesting. We’ll take the underdog. Average final score in sims is 1.64 – 1.52, in favor of Norwich.