Everton looks to build off their win last time out as they get set to host Norwich City Saturday afternoon at Goodison Park.
Let’s take a closer look at where the value is at in this matchup.
Dafabet Picks
Team to Win (Regular Time)
• Everton FC: 1.43
• Draw: 5.08
• Norwich City: 7.46
Spread
• Everton FC -1.5: 2.16
• Norwich City +1.5: 1.79
Total
• Over 3: 1.91
• Under 3: 1.99
Key Points to Consider
Last 6: Everton, coming off a 2-1 road win vs Southampton, have 3 wins, 2 losses and 1 draw in their last six overall. Norwich City, coming off a 2-0 home loss vs Watford, have five losses and 1 draw in their last six overall.
Some Numbers: Everton is No. 2 in the league having hit the woodwork five times. Close, but no cigar. They are No. 3 in the league in crosses, meaning they definitely give themselves plenty of chances to score.
Head-to-Head: These two sides last matched in up League Cup action when Norwich City won, 2-0. They have not matched up since Sep. 2016.
Projected Leaders
Teemu Pukki has a 35 percent chance to score for Norwich City. Pukki averages 1.86 shots overall per sim, 0.77 shots on goal per, and 0.43 goals per sim.
For Everton, Richarlison has a 49-to-50 percent chance to score. Richarlison averages 4 shots overall per sim, 1.46 shots on goal per and 0.69 goals per sim.
Analyst’s Pick
Norwich City +1.5
Simulations definitely have Everton winning this matchup, but there is some more added/side value on this being closer than picks-makers are indicating.
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