Norwich City, desperate for some points, hosts Brentford on Saturday. Norwich City is coming off a 2-0 road loss against Southampton on February 25 while Brentford lost 2-0 at home against Newcastle United on February 26. Norwich City is in last place in the Premier League standings with 17 points in 26 games while Brentford is in 15th place with 24 points in 27 games.
The player to watch in this game is Teemu Pukki, who has six goals and one assist in 25 Premier League games this season. AccuScore gives Pukki a 36.15 percent chance to score against Brentford. He has 33 SCA and 2 GCA in 25 Premier League games this season.
FBRef defines SCA as “the two offensive actions leading directly to a shot, such as passes, dribbles and drawing fouls.” GCA is “the two offensive actions leading directly to a goal, such as passes, dribbles and drawing fouls.” Let’s take a closer look at where the value is at in this matchup.
DafaNews Picks
Team to Win (Regular Time)
• Norwich City: 3.00
• Brentford: 2.55
• Draw: 3.15
Spread
• Norwich City: 0: 2.17
• Brentford: 0: 1.75
Total
• Over 2, 2.5: 2.01
• Under 2, 2.5: 1.87
Key Points to Consider
Last 5: Norwich City, coming off a 2-0 road loss against Southampton on February 25, have 3 losses, 1 win and 1 draw in their last 5 Premier League games. Brentford, coming off a 2-0 home loss against Newcastle United on February 26, have 4 losses, 1 draw and 0 wins in their last 5 Premier League games.
Momentum: Brentford has been on a downward trend — with 4 losses in their last 5 Premier League games.
Head-to-Head: These two sides last matched up in Premier League action on November 6 and Norwich City won 2-1.
Projected Leaders
For Norwich City, Teemu Pukki has a 36.15 percent chance to score. He averages 1.71 shots overall per sim, 1.02 shots on goal per and 0.45 goals per sim.
For Brentford, Yoane Wissa has a 22.84 percent chance to net the ball. He averages 0.78 shots overall per sim, 0.42 shots on goal per and 0.26 goals per sim.
Analyst’s Pick
Norwich City Moneyline.
Three-star (out of four) AccuScore hot trend pick on the total in this one. Average score in simulations Norwich City 1.23 to Brentford 1.09.
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