Norwich looks to build on a 2-0 road win their last time out as they get set to host Arsenal at Carrow Road this Sunday.
Let’s take a closer look at where the value is at in this matchup.
Team to Win (Regular Time)
• Norwich City: 4.04
• Draw: 4.13
• Arsenal FC: 1.85
• Norwich City +0.5: 2.09
• Arsenal FC -0.5: 1.84
• Over 3: 1.67
• Under 3: 2.29
Key Points to Consider
Last 6: Norwich, fresh off a 2-0 road win vs Everton, have 1 win, 4 losses and 1 draw in their last six overall. Arsenal, coming off a 2-2 home draw vs Southampton, have 5 draws and 1 loss in their last six overall.
Some Numbers: Arsenal is No. 10 in the league in both shots taken, and goals scored. On par there. They are No. 7 in the league in terms of goals scored inside the box, and No. 10 with goals scored outside the box. Norwich are No. 16 in shots taken.
Head-to-Head: These two sides last matched up in October of 2017 in League Cup when Arsenal won, 2-1. Their last Premier League matchup was on April 30, 2016 when Arsenal won, 1-0.
Pierre-Emerick Aubameyang has a 56 percent chance to score. He averages 2.95 shots overall per sim, 1.15 shots on goal per and 0.83 goals per sim.
Teemu Pukki has a 45-to-46 percent chance to score for Norwich City. He averages 3.46 shots overall per sim, 1.49 shots on goal per and 0.60 goals per sim.
Arsenal to win.
Simulation data is suggesting Norwich City are more competitive than picks-makers are indicating, but Arsenal still should win the match outright. Average margin of victory in sims is Arsenal +0.58 goals.
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