Norwich City, desperate for some points, hosts Arsenal on Saturday. Norwich City is coming off a 2-0 home loss against Aston Villa on December 14 while Arsenal beat Leeds United 4-1 on the road last Saturday. Norwich City is in last place in the Premier League standings with 10 points in 17 games while Arsenal is in fourth place with 32 points in 18 games.
The player to watch in this game is Teemu Pukki, who has five goals in 17 games. Pukki hasn’t scored a goal in his last three Premier League games but he should regress to the mean soon and AccuScore gives him a 31.4 percent chance to net the ball against Arsenal. Norwich City won’t get at least a draw unless Pukki plays at a high level. Let’s take a closer look at where the value is at in this matchup.
DafaNews Picks
Team to Win (Regular Time)
• Norwich City: 6.00
• Arsenal: 1.53
• Draw: 4.30
Spread
• Norwich City: +0.5, +1: 2.36
• Arsenal: -0.5, -1: 1.63
Total
• Over 2.5: 1.82
• Under 2.5: 2.06
Key Points to Consider
Last 5: Norwich City, coming off a 2-0 home loss against Aston Villa on December 14, have 4 losses, 1 draw and 0 wins in their last 5 Premier League games. Arsenal, coming off a 4-1 road win against Leeds United last Saturday, have 3 wins, 2 losses and 0 draws in their last 5 Premier League games.
Momentum: Norwich City has been on a downward trend — with 0 wins in their last 5 Premier League games.
Head-to-Head: These two sides last matched up in Premier League action on September 11 and Arsenal won 1-0.
Projected Leaders
For Norwich City, Teemu Pukki has a 31.4 percent chance to score. He averages 2.31 shots overall per sim, 1.34 shots on goal per and 0.37 goals per sim.
For Arsenal, Alexandre Lacazette has a 38.96 percent chance to net the ball. He averages 1.13 shots overall per sim, 0.8 shots on goal per and 0.49 goals per sim.
Analyst’s Pick
The Under.
Three-star (out of four) AccuScore hot trend pick on the total in this one. Average score in simulations is Arsenal 1.51 to Norwich City 0.82.
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