Manchester United faces a very tough test when they visit Manchester City on Sunday. Manchester City is coming off a 1-0 road win against Everton on February 26 while Manchester United had a 0-0 home draw against Watford on February 26. Manchester City leads the Premier League standings with 66 points in 27 games while Manchester United is in fourth place with 47 points in 27 games.
The player to watch in this game is Raheem Sterling, who has 10 goals and one assist in 23 Premier League games this season. AccuScore gives Sterling a 38.24 percent chance to score against Manchester United. He has 64 SCA and 5 GCA in 23 Premier League games this season.
FBRef defines SCA as “the two offensive actions leading directly to a shot, such as passes, dribbles and drawing fouls.” GCA is “the two offensive actions leading directly to a goal, such as passes, dribbles and drawing fouls.” Let’s take a closer look at where the value is at in this matchup.
DafaNews Picks
Team to Win (Regular Time)
• Manchester City: 1.29
• Manchester United: 10.00
• Draw: 5.60
Spread
• Manchester City: -1, -1.5: 1.93
• Manchester United: +1, +1.5: 1.97
Total
• Over 3: 1.98
• Under 3: 1.90
Key Points to Consider
Last 5: Manchester City, coming off a 1-0 road win against Everton on February 26, have 3 wins, 1 loss and 2 draw in their last 5 Premier League games. Manchester United, coming off a 0-0 home draw against Watford on February 26, have 3 draws, 2 wins and 0 losses in their last 5 Premier League games.
Momentum: Manchester City has been on an upward trend — with 3 wins in their last 4 Premier League.
Head-to-Head: These two sides last matched up in Premier League action on November 6, 2021 and Manchester City won 2-0.
Projected Leaders
For Manchester City, Raheem Sterling has a 38.24 percent chance to score. He averages 1.84 shots overall per sim, 1.15 shots on goal per and 0.48 goals per sim.
For Manchester United, Cristiano Ronaldo has a 31.01 percent chance to net the ball. He averages 1.22 shots overall per sim, 0.64 shots on goal per and 0.19 goals per sim.
Analyst’s Pick
Manchester City Moneyline.
Four-star (out of four) AccuScore hot trend pick on Manchester City in this one. Average score in simulations is Manchester City 2.49 to Manchester United 1.04.
