Manchester City clashes with Chelsea in what should be a very entertaining Premier League contest on Saturday. Manchester City is coming off a 2-1 home win against Arsenal on January 1 while Chelsea had a 2-2 home draw against Liverpool on January 2. Manchester City leads the Premier League standings with 53 points in 21 games while Chelsea is in second place with 43 points in 21 games.
The player to watch in this game is Raheem Sterling, who has seven goals and one assist in 17 Premier League games this season. AccuScore gives Sterling a 23.4 percent chance to score against Chelsea. He has 45 SCA and 2 GCA in 17 Premier League games this season.
FBRef defines SCA as “the two offensive actions leading directly to a shot, such as passes, dribbles and drawing fouls.” GCA is “the two offensive actions leading directly to a goal, such as passes, dribbles and drawing fouls.” Let’s take a closer look at where the value is at in this matchup. .
DafaNews Picks
Team to Win (Regular Time)
• Manchester City: 1.63
• Chelsea: 5.20
• Draw: 4.10
Spread
• Manchester City: -0.5, -1: 1.81
• Chelsea: +0.5, +1: 2.13
Total
• Over 3: 2.42
• Under 3: 1.60
Key Points to Consider
Last 5: Manchester City, coming off a 2-1 home win against Arsenal on January 1, have 11 wins in their last 11 Premier League games. Chelsea, coming off a 2-2 home draw against Liverpool on January 2, have 4 draws, 1 win and 0 losses in their last 5 Premier League games.
Momentum: Manchester City has been on an upward trend — with 11 wins in their last 11 Premier League games.
Head-to-Head: These two sides last matched up in Premier League action on September 25, 2021 and Manchester City won 1-0.
Projected Leaders
For Manchester City, Raheem Sterling has a 23.4 percent chance to score. He averages 1.24 shots overall per sim, 0.75 shots on goal per and 0.26 goals per sim.
For Chelsea, Mason Mount has a 14.94 percent chance to net the ball. He averages 0.78 shots overall per sim, 0.46 shots on goal per and 0.16 goals per sim.
Analyst’s Pick
Manchester City Moneyline.
Four-star (out of four) AccuScore hot trend pick on Manchester City in this one. Average score in simulations is Manchester City 1.38 to Chelsea 0.69.
