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    Liverpool vs. Leeds United: EPL Game Preview

    Football   |   October 29, 2022

     
    Liverpool hosts Leeds United in what promises to be an entertaining game on Saturday. Liverpool is coming off a 1-0 road loss against Nottingham Forest on Saturday while Leeds United lost 3-2 at home against Fulham on Sunday.

    Liverpool is in eighth place in the Premier League standings with 16 points in 11 games while Leeds United is in 18th place with nine points in 11 games.

    The player to watch in this game is Roberto Firmino, who has six goals and three assists in 10 Premier League games this season. AccuScore gives Firmino a 64.36 percent chance to score against Leeds United. He has 24 SCA and 6 GCA in 10 Premier League games this season.

    FBRef defines SCA as “the two offensive actions leading directly to a shot, such as passes, dribbles and drawing fouls.” GCA is “the two offensive actions leading directly to a goal, such as passes, dribbles and drawing fouls.” Let’s take a closer look at where the value is at in this matchup.

    DafaNews Picks

    Team to Win (Regular Time)
    • Liverpool 1.31
    • Leeds United 8.40
    • Draw: 6.00

    Spread
    • Liverpool -1.5, -2 (2.03)
    • Leeds United +1.5, +2 (1.90)

    Total
    • Over 3.5 (2.01)
    • Under 3.5 (1.89)

    Key Points to Consider

    Head-to-Head: These two sides last matched up in Premier League action on February 26 and Liverpool won 6-0.

    Projected Leaders

    For Liverpool, Roberto Firmino has a 64.36 percent chance to score. He averages 2.18 shots overall per sim, 1.8 shots on goal per and 1.03 goals per sim.

    For Leeds United, Luis Sinisterra has a 21.66 percent chance to net the ball. He averages 1.04 shots overall per sim, 0.56 shots on goal per and 0.24 goals per sim.

    Analyst’s Pick

    Liverpool Moneyline.

    Four-star (out of four) AccuScore hot trend pick on Liverpool in this one. Average score in simulations is Liverpool 3.47 to Leeds United 0.78.
     

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