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    Leicester City vs. Manchester City: EPL Game Preview

    Football   |   October 28, 2022

     

    Leicester City hosts Manchester City in what promises to be an entertaining Premier League game on Saturday. Leicester City is coming off a 4-0 road win against Wolverhampton Wanderers on Sunday while Manchester City beat Brighton & Hove Albion 3-1 at home on Saturday.

    Manchester City is in second place in the Premier League standings with 26 points in 11 games while Leicester City is in 16th place with 11 points in 12 games.

    The player to watch in this game is Erling Haaland, who has 17 goals and three assists in 11 Premier League games this season. AccuScore gives Haaland a 76.74 percent chance to score against Leeds United. He has 22 SCA and 5 GCA in 11 Premier League games this season.

    FBRef defines SCA as “the two offensive actions leading directly to a shot, such as passes, dribbles and drawing fouls.” GCA is “the two offensive actions leading directly to a goal, such as passes, dribbles and drawing fouls.” Let’s take a closer look at where the value is at in this matchup.

    DafaNews Picks

    Team to Win (Regular Time)
    • Leicester City 9.20
    • Manchester City 1.27
    • Draw: 6.40

    Spread
    • Leicester City +1.5, +2 (1.96)
    • Manchester City -1.5, -2 (1.97)

    Total
    • Over 3.5 (2.02)
    • Under 3.5 (1.88)

    Key Points to Consider

    Head-to-Head: These two sides last matched up in Premier League action on December 26 and Manchester City won 6-3.

    Projected Leaders

    For Leeds United, James Maddison has a 23.98 percent chance to score. He averages 0.92 shots overall per sim, 0.55 shots on goal per and 0.27 goals per sim.

    For Manchester City, Erling Haaland has a 76.74 percent chance to net the ball. He averages 3.41 shots overall per sim, 1.91 shots on goal per and 1.45 goals per sim.

    Analyst’s Pick

    Manchester City Moneyline.

    Three-star (out of four) AccuScore hot trend pick on the total in this one. Average score in simulations is Manchester City 3.04 to Leeds United 0.81.

     

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