The Serie A continues next week! The games will be played behind closed doors because of the COVID-19 pandemic and we will have an exciting contest on Wednesday when Fiorentina hosts Cagliari.
Fiorentina is coming off a 2-1 road win against Parma on Sunday, while Cagliari lost 1-0 at home against Atalanta, also last Sunday. Fiorentina is in 13th place with 34 points in 30 games while Cagliari is 11th in the standings with 39 points in 30 games.
Let’s take a closer look at where the value is at in this matchup.
Dafabet Picks
Team to Win (Regular Time)
• Fiorentina: 2.02
• Cagliari: 3.90
• Draw: 3.60
Spread
• Fiorentina: -0.5 (2.02)
• Cagliari: +0.5 (1.91)
Total
• Over 2.5 (1.87)
• Under 2,5 (2.03)
Key Points to Consider
Last 6:
Fiorentina, coming off a 2-1 road win vs Parma, have 3 draws, 2 losses and 1 win in their last 6 overall. Cagliari, coming off a 1-0 home loss vs Atalanta, have 3 losses, 2 wins and 1 draw in their last 6 overall.
Momentum: Cagliari has been on a downward trend — winning one of their last 6 games in the Serie A.
Head-to-Head: These two sides last matched up in Serie A action on Nov. 10, 2019 and Cagliari won 5-2.
Projected Leaders
For Fiorentina, Federico Chiesa has a 40.14 percent chance to score. He averages 4.39 shots overall per sim, 1.73 shots on goal per and 0.52 goals per sim.
For Cagliari, João Pedro has a 44.22 percent chance to net the ball. He averages 2.56 shots overall per sim, 0.93 shots on goal per and 0.57 goals per sim.
Analyst’s Pick
The Over.
Four-star (out of four) AccuScore hot trend pick on the total in this one. Average score in simulations is Fiorentina 1.64 to Cagliari 1.55.