Everton clashes with Arsenal in what promises to be a very entertaining game on February 4. Everton is coming off a 2-0 road loss against West Ham United on January 21, while Arsenal beat Manchester United 3-2 at home on January 22.
Arsenal leads the Premier League standings with 50 points in 19 games while Everton is in 19th place with 15 points in 20 games.
The player to watch in this game is Martin Ødegaard, who has eight goals and five assists in 18 Premier League games this season. AccuScore gives Martin Ødegaard a 32.8 percent chance to score against Everton. He has 86 SCA and 11 GCA in 18 Premier League games this season.
FBRef defines SCA as “the two offensive actions leading directly to a shot, such as passes, dribbles and drawing fouls.” GCA is “the two offensive actions leading directly to a goal, such as passes, dribbles and drawing fouls.” Let’s take a closer look at where the value is at in this matchup.
DafaNews Picks
Team to Win (Regular Time)
• Arsenal 1.39
• Everton 8.00
• Draw 4.80
Spread
• Arsenal -1, -1.5 (1.86)
• Everton +1, +1.5 (1.95)
Total
• Over 2.5 (1.81)
• Under 2.5 (2.02)
Key Points to Consider
Head-to-Head: These two sides last matched up in Premier League action on May 22 and Arsenal won 5-1.
Projected Leaders
For Everton, Dominic Calvert-Lewin has a 13.8 percent chance to score. He averages 0.96 shots overall per sim, 0.43 shots on goal per and 0.15 goals per sim.
For Arsenal, Martin Ødegaard has a 32.8 percent chance to net the ball. He averages 1.4 shots overall per sim, 0.85 shots on goal per and 0.4 goals per sim.
Analyst’s Pick
Arsenal 1.39
Four-star (out of four) AccuScore hot trend pick on Arsenal in this one. Average score in simulations is Arsenal 1.77 to Everton 0.72.
