We’ve got a fairly evenly-matched fixture this weekend as Sheffield United gets set to host Southampton FC at Bramall Lane.
Let’s take a closer look at where the value is at in this matchup.
Dafabet Odds
Team to Win (Regular Time)
Sheffield United: 2.60
Draw: 3.20
Southampton FC: 3.01
Spread
Sheffield United -0.5: 2.58
Southampton FC +0.5: 1.57
Total
Over 2: 1.66
Under 2: 2.31
What to Watch For
Betting on the Draw: Odds indicate there’s a 31 percent chance this matchup ends in a draw. That happens in under 30 percent of simulations, suggesting no added value on the pick. Still something to note, though, as nearly a third of sims are finishing in a draw.
The projected score is 1.41 – 1.22, in favor of Sheffield United.
Crosses: Sheffield are No. 3 in the league currently with 85 crosses, behind Liverpool and Tottenham. A stat that indicates strong strategy and execution.
Saves: Southampton are No. 4 in the league right now with 15 saves. Two signs here — it means they get attacked often, but are able to stop more shots on goal than not.
Head to Head: These two sides last matched up in Premier League action back in 1994 — not very applicable in terms of looking at that result. They last met in any competition in Dec. 2014 (League Cup) when Sheffield won, 1-0.
Projected Leaders
Che Adams is projected to lead Southampton with 2.05 shots overall per sim, 0.77 shots on goal per and 0.37 goals per sim. He has a 31 percent chance to net the ball.
Oliver McBurnie has a 26-to-37 percent chance to score for Sheffield United, averaging 1.7 shots overall, 0.72 shots on goal per and 0.46 goals per sim. Callum Robinson averages more shots overall, but isn’t as effective.
Analyst’s Pick
Sheffield to win.
If you’re thinking a draw might be the result, taking Southampton +0.5 isn’t a bad choice either.
Tough one here to pick as the sides are fairly evenly matched, but Sheffield wins more simulated matchups than does Southampton. Odds indicate there’s about a 38 percent chance for Sheffield to win this Saturday; that happens in 40-plus percent of simulations. The added/side value is a four-star (out of four) hot-trend pick.
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