We’ve got a fun one at Goodison Park this Saturday as Everton and Arsenal match up. Both sides will be looking to get back on the win column.
Let’s take a closer look at where the value is at in this matchup.
Team to Win (Regular Time)
•Everton FC: 2.37
•Arsenal FC: 2.92
•Everton FC -0.5: 2.38
•Arsenal FC +0.5: 1.65
•Over 3: 1.94
•Under 3: 1.96
Key Points to Consider
Last 6: Everton, coming off a 1-1 draw vs Manchester United, have 1 draw, 2 wins and 3 losses in their last six overall. Arsenal, coming off an 0-3 loss vs Manchester City, has 3 losses, 2 draws and 1 win in their last six overall.
Formation: Everton recently switched to a 4-4-2 formation and it has added some stability to the starting unit. We’re expecting a similar lineup this weekend.
Head-to-Head: These two sides last matched up on April 7, 2019 when Everton won, 1-0.
Aubameyang has a 50 percent chance to score for Arsenal. He averages 2.22 shots overall per sim, 0.88 shots on goal per and 0.69 goals per sim.
Richarlison has a 38-to-39 percent to score for Everton. He averages 3.22 shots overall per sim, 1.2 shots on goal per and 0.48 goals per sim.
Simulation data projects the matchup to be a bit closer than odds-makers are indicating. Everton’s average margin of victory is just +0.03 points. Good value on Arsenal +0.5 since there’s a good chance of a win or a draw for them.
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