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    EPL Match Preview: Everton vs Arsenal

    EPL Match Preview: Everton vs Arsenal

    Football   |   December 20, 2019

    We’ve got a fun one at Goodison Park this Saturday as Everton and Arsenal match up. Both sides will be looking to get back on the win column.

    Let’s take a closer look at where the value is at in this matchup.

    Dafabet Odds

    Team to Win (Regular Time)

    •Everton FC: 2.37
    •Draw: 3.77
    •Arsenal FC: 2.92

    Spread
    •Everton FC -0.5: 2.38
    •Arsenal FC +0.5: 1.65

    Total

    •Over 3: 1.94
    •Under 3: 1.96

    Key Points to Consider

    Last 6: Everton, coming off a 1-1 draw vs Manchester United, have 1 draw, 2 wins and 3 losses in their last six overall. Arsenal, coming off an 0-3 loss vs Manchester City, has 3 losses, 2 draws and 1 win in their last six overall.

    Formation: Everton recently switched to a 4-4-2 formation and it has added some stability to the starting unit. We’re expecting a similar lineup this weekend.

    Head-to-Head: These two sides last matched up on April 7, 2019 when Everton won, 1-0.

    Projected Leaders

    Aubameyang has a 50 percent chance to score for Arsenal. He averages 2.22 shots overall per sim, 0.88 shots on goal per and 0.69 goals per sim.

    Richarlison has a 38-to-39 percent to score for Everton. He averages 3.22 shots overall per sim, 1.2 shots on goal per and 0.48 goals per sim.

    Analyst’s Pick

    Arsenal +0.5.

    Simulation data projects the matchup to be a bit closer than odds-makers are indicating. Everton’s average margin of victory is just +0.03 points. Good value on Arsenal +0.5 since there’s a good chance of a win or a draw for them.

    Make sure to check all other MLB, NFL, NCAA, NHL, NBA and soccer game predictions from AccuScore.

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