Watford looks to build on some recent momentum at home as they host Aston Villa this Saturday at Vicarage Road.

Let’s take a closer look at where the value is at in this matchup.

Dafabet Odds

Team to Win (Regular Time)
Watford FC: 1.99
Draw: 3.82
Aston Villa: 3.75

Spread
Watford FC -0.5: 1.99
Aston Villa +0.5: 1.94

Total
Over 2.5: 1.68
Under 2.5: 2.28

Key Points to Consider

Last 6: Watford, coming off a 1-1 road draw vs Sheffield United, have 2 draws, 3 losses and 1 win in their last six overall. They got a 2-0 win vs Manchester United their last time at home. Aston Villa, coming off a 1-0 home win vs Norwich City, have 2 wins and 4 losses overall in their last six.

Offensive Struggles: Watford currently average close to twice as many goals conceded (1.44) per match than they do goals scored per (0.67). Watford are last in the league in goals scored at 12 total for the season.

Head-to-Head: These two sides haven’t matched up since April 2016 when Watford won, 3-2.

Projected Leaders

For Aston Villa, Wesley Moraes has a 30 percent chance to score in this match. He averages 1.19 shots overall per sim, 0.59 shots on goal per and 0.36 goals per sim.

For Watford, Troy Deeney has a 38 percent chance to score. He averages 2.76 shots overall per sim, 1.23 shots on goal per and 0.48 goals per sim.

Analyst’s Pick

Aston Villa +0.5

Four-star (out of four) AccuScore hot trend pick on Aston Villa being more competitive than odds-makers are suggesting. Average score in sims is 1.73 – 1.47, in favor of Watford.

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