Despite playing against 10 men for 70+ minutes their last time out, AFC Bournemouth heads into this weekend’s matchup vs Liverpool coming off a 1-0 loss vs Crystal Palace. They have lost three of their last four league fixtures.
Let’s take a closer look at where the value is at in this matchup.
Dafabet Odds
Team to Win (Regular Time)
AFC Bournemouth: 6.78
Draw: 4.97
Liverpool FC: 1.47
Spread
AFC Bournemouth +1.5: 1.73
Liverpool FC -1.5: 2.25
Total
Over 3: 1.87
Under 3: 2.03
Key Points to Consider
Last 6: Liverpool, coming off a 5-2 home win vs Everton, have 5 wins and 1 draw in their last six. Their 1 draw was in UEFA Champions League vs Napoli, 1-1. Bournemouth are looking to get back on track after four straight losses, most recently 0-1 on the road vs Crystal Palace. Bournemouth have 4 losses, 1 win and 1 draw in their last 6.
Some Changes: Liverpool is expected to get the likes of Henderson, Firmino, Mo Salah and Oxlade-Chamberlain back for this matchup. That unit, along with goalkeeper Alisson, should yield quite the performance for the healthy lineup.
Head-to-Head: These two sides last matched up in Premier League action on Feb. 9, 2019 when Liverpool won, 3-0.
Projected Leaders
Sadio Mane has a 41 percent chance to score for Liverpool. He averages 1.88 shots overall per sim, 1 shot on goal per and 0.54 goals per sim.
Callum Wilson has a 21-to-22 percent chance to score for Bournemouth. He averages 0.83 shots overall per sim, 0.39 shots on goal per and 0.24 goals per sim.
Analyst’s Pick
UNDER 3.
Four-star (out of four) hot trend pick. Average combined score in sims is 2.57 goals.
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