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    EPL: Manchester United vs Wolverhampton Wolves

    Wolves-vs-Man-United

    Football   |   August 16, 2019

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    We’ve got an intriguing matchup this upcoming Monday as Wolverhampton and Manchester United clash at Molineaux. Some appealing side value in this matchup from our perspective.

    Let’s take a closer look at where the value is at in this matchup.

    Dafabet Odds

    Team to Win (Regular Time)

    Wolverhampton Wanderers: 3.34
    Draw: 3.36
    Manchester United: 2.31

    Spread
    Wolverhampton Wanderers +0.5: 1.72
    Manchester United -0.5: 2.21

    Total
    Over 2.5: 2.17
    Under 2.5: 1.75

    What to Watch For

    Betting on the Draw: Odds indicate there’s a about a 30 percent chance this weekend’s match ends in a draw. That happens in 27.5 percent of AccuScore sims, suggesting no added value on the pick.

    The projected score is 1.44 – 1.37, in favor of Manchester United.

    Last Time Out: The Wolves kicked off the 2019-2020 season with a road draw vs Leicester. Man U put together a convincing 4-0 win over Chelsea at home.

    Efficiency: Manchester United had possession just 46% of the time in their 4-0 win last week. One of the more efficient performances of late as they created 11 shots with limited possession. The Wolves, on the other hand, had just 30% of the possession in their draw, with a pass accuracy rate of less than 70%.

    Head to Head: These two sides last matched up in Premier League action on April 2, 2019 when the Wolves won, 2-1.

    Projected Leaders

    Marcus Rashford has close to a 32 percent chance to score for Manchester United. Rashford averages 2.01 shots overall per sim, 0.94 shots on goal per and 0.38 goals per sim.

    Raúl Jiménez also has close to a 32 percent chance to score for his side. Jiménez averages 3.26 shots overall per sim, 1.2 shots on goal per and 0.38 goals per sim.

    Analyst’s Pick

    Wolverhampton Wanderers +0.5

    Odds indicate there’s a 58 percent chance Wolverhampton either draw, or win. That happens in 61.5 percent of simulations. The added value in simulations is on Wolverhampton to be more competitive than odds-makers are suggesting.

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