We’ve got an intriguing matchup this upcoming Monday as Wolverhampton and Manchester United clash at Molineaux. Some appealing side value in this matchup from our perspective.
Let’s take a closer look at where the value is at in this matchup.
Dafabet Odds
Team to Win (Regular Time)
Wolverhampton Wanderers: 3.34
Draw: 3.36
Manchester United: 2.31
Spread
Wolverhampton Wanderers +0.5: 1.72
Manchester United -0.5: 2.21
Total
Over 2.5: 2.17
Under 2.5: 1.75
What to Watch For
Betting on the Draw: Odds indicate there’s a about a 30 percent chance this weekend’s match ends in a draw. That happens in 27.5 percent of AccuScore sims, suggesting no added value on the pick.
The projected score is 1.44 – 1.37, in favor of Manchester United.
Last Time Out: The Wolves kicked off the 2019-2020 season with a road draw vs Leicester. Man U put together a convincing 4-0 win over Chelsea at home.
Efficiency: Manchester United had possession just 46% of the time in their 4-0 win last week. One of the more efficient performances of late as they created 11 shots with limited possession. The Wolves, on the other hand, had just 30% of the possession in their draw, with a pass accuracy rate of less than 70%.
Head to Head: These two sides last matched up in Premier League action on April 2, 2019 when the Wolves won, 2-1.
Projected Leaders
Marcus Rashford has close to a 32 percent chance to score for Manchester United. Rashford averages 2.01 shots overall per sim, 0.94 shots on goal per and 0.38 goals per sim.
Raúl Jiménez also has close to a 32 percent chance to score for his side. Jiménez averages 3.26 shots overall per sim, 1.2 shots on goal per and 0.38 goals per sim.
Analyst’s Pick
Wolverhampton Wanderers +0.5
Odds indicate there’s a 58 percent chance Wolverhampton either draw, or win. That happens in 61.5 percent of simulations. The added value in simulations is on Wolverhampton to be more competitive than odds-makers are suggesting.
