Football

EPL Game Preview: Newcastle vs Brighton & Hove Albion

St. James’ Park is the venue as Newcastle and Brighton & Hove Albion go head-to-head as both sides look to right a ship that has already gone off track early in the season. Both sides will be desperate for a win.

Let’s take a closer look at where the value is at in this matchup.

Dafabet Odds

Team to Win (Regular Time)
•Newcastle United: 2.57
•Draw: 3.19
•Brighton & Hove Albion: 3.05

Spread
•Newcastle United -0.5: 2.58
•Brighton & Hove Albion +0.5: 1.56

Total
•Over 2: 1.77
•Under 2: 2.14

What to Watch For

Betting on the Draw: Odds indicate there’s a 31 percent chance this match finishes in a draw. That happens in a similar percentage of simulations, suggesting no added value on the pick. But still noted that close to a third of sims end in a draw.

The projected score is 1.21 – 0.91, in favor of Brighton & Hove Albion.

Just Barely: Brighton almost had three points in the bag last week, but gave up a 91st-minute goal to Burnley to finish in a draw. They’ll be focused on getting those points back this week.

Tale of Two Halves: Newcastle — overall — had a strong performance vs Liverpool last week. They took an early lead, but once again had a second-half letdown as they notched another loss on the books.

Head to Head: These two sides last matched up in Premier League action on Apr. 27, 2019 when they finished in a 1-1 draw.

Projected Leaders

Neal Maupay averages 2.52 shots overall per sim for Brighton, 1.05 shots on goal per and 0.53 goals per sim. He has a 41-to-42 percent chance to score.

Joelinton has a 19 percent chance to score for Newcastle, averaging 1.64 shots overall per sim, 0.65 shots on goal per and 0.21 goals per sim.

Analyst’s Pick

Safe Pick: Brighton +0.5; Bold Pick: Brighton to win

Whereas odds makers have Newcastle as slight favorites, sim data is on Brighton’s side to win this matchup. Odds indicate Brighton have a 33 percent chance to win this matchup; they win close to 43 percent of simulations, suggesting quite a bit of side value on the pick. That side value is a four-star (out of four) hot trend pick.

Make sure to check all other MLB, NFL, NCAA, NHL, NBA and soccer game predictions from AccuScore.

About the Author


Written by DafaNews

DafaNews brings you the most highlighted news in the world of Sports. It serves you up-to-date matches, scores, live streams, fantasy games and quizzes. Our news covers prestigious leagues and events – Premier League, Champions League, World Cup and many more.

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