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    Written by DafaNews
    ston-Villa-vs-Burnley-EN-min

    EPL Game Preview: Burnley vs Aston Villa

    September 27, 2019

    Following a mid-week road win in the Carabao Cup, Aston Villa gets set to host Burnley this Saturday at Villa Park.

    Let’s take a closer look at where the value is at in this matchup.

    Dafabet Odds

    Team to Win (Regular Time)

    •Aston Villa: 2.41
    •Draw: 3.45
    •Burnley FC: 3.08

    Spread
    •Aston Villa -0.5: 2.38
    •Burnley FC +0.5: 1.65

    Total
    •Over 2.5: 1.96
    •Under 2.5: 1.94

    What to Watch For

    Betting on the Draw: Odds indicate there’s a 29 percent chance this match ends in a draw. That happens in under 28 percent of simulations, suggesting no added side value on the pick. Definitely worth looking at, though, since close to a third of sims are still ending in a draw.

    The projected score is 1.49 – 1.46, in favor of Burnley.

    Last Week: Last time out, Villa came up short, 3-2, on the road vs Arsenal. They finished in a scoreless draw the matchup prior vs West Ham. Burnley will look to build off last week’s 2-0 home win vs Norwich.

    Clean Sheets: Both sides have 2 clean sheets to their name so far this season.

    Clearances/Saves: Villa are No. 4 in the league so far with 144 clearances. Burnley are No. 4 in the league with 23 saves.

    Head to Head: These two sides last matched up in Premier League action back in 2015 when Burnley won, 1-0.

    Projected Leaders

    Ashley Barnes has a 43 percent chance to score for Burnley. He averages 2.32 shots overall per sim, 1.01 shots on goal per, and 0.56 goals per sim.

    John McGinn has a 29 percent chance to score for the home side, Aston Villa. He averages 3.35 shots overall per sim, 1.34 shots on goal per and 0.35 goals per sim.

    Analyst’s Pick

    Burnley +0.5

    Simulation data has more faith on the road team here than do odds-makers. Burnley wins more simulated matches than do Aston Villa, so we’ll gladly take the +0.5 here on the spread. The side value on Burnley is a four-star (out of four) hot trend pick.

    Make sure to check all other MLB, NFL, NCAA, NHL, NBA and soccer game predictions from AccuScore.

    About the Author


    Written by DafaNews

    DafaNews brings you the most highlighted news in the world of Sports. It serves you up-to-date matches, scores, live streams, fantasy games and quizzes. Our news covers prestigious leagues and events – Premier League, Champions League, World Cup and many more.

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