Chelsea looks to bounce back from a road loss in the Prem vs Everton as they get set to match up with Bournemouth this Saturday afternoon at Stamford Bridge. Bournemouth continues to look for any glimmer of hope as they head into this weekend’s match up having lost five straight overall.

Let’s take a closer look at where the value is at in this matchup.

Dafabet Picks

Team to Win (Regular Time)

•Chelsea: 1.28
•Draw: 6.44
•Bournemouth: 10.87

Spread

•Chelsea -2: 2.28
•Bournemouth +2: 1.71

Total

•Over 3.5: 2.11
•Under 3.5: 1.80

Key Points to Consider

Last 6: Chelsea, coming off a midweek win over Lille in Champions League action, has 2 wins, 3 losses and 1 draw in their last 6 overall. Bournemouth los 0-3 at home vs Liverpool their last time out; they have 5 losses and 1 win in their last six overall.

Struggling: Chelsea needs to put together a strong performance in this one as they have struggled lately with losses to the likes of Manchester City, West Ham and Everton. Their recent streak is opening up the potential for teams like Tottenham or Wolverhampton to have some hope for the No. 4 spot in the standings.

Head-to-Head: These two sides last matched up earlier this year in January when Bournemouth won, 4-0.

Projected Leaders

Tammy Abraham has a 51% chance to score for Chelsea. He averages 2.81 shots overall per sim, 1.47 shots on goal per and 0.74 goals per sim.

Callum Wilson has a 27-to-28 percent chance to score for Bournemouth. He averages 1.17 shots overall per sim, 0.55 shots on goal per and 0.33 goals per sim.

Analyst’s Pick

Bournemouth +2

The side value in this matchup is on the game to be slightly more competitive than picks-makers are indicating. More value on the draw than anything else. With that in mind, we’ll take a pair of goals and the +2.

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