Chelsea will host Aston Villa in one of the most entertaining Premier League games next Saturday. Chelsea is coming off a hard-fought 1-1 road draw against Liverpool on August 28 while Aston Villa got a 1-1 home draw against Brentford also on August 28. Chelsea is in fourth place in the Premier League standings with seven points in three games while Aston Villa is 11th with four points in three games.
The player to watch in this game is Romelu Lukaku. Chelsea’s Belgian striker has played two games this season and he has two shots on target and one goal. Look for Lukaku to find more rhythm as the campaign progresses and this home game can help him. Let’s take a closer look at where the value is at in this matchup.
Dafabet Picks
Team to Win (Regular Time)
• Chelsea: 1.30
• Aston Villa: 10.00
• Draw: 5.40
Spread
• Chelsea: -1.5: 1.99
• Aston Villa: +1.5: 1.94
Total
• Over 2.5, 3: 2.04
• Under 2.5, 3: 1.86
Key Points to Consider
Last 3: Chelsea, coming off a 1-1 road draw against Liverpool on August 28, have 2 wins, 1 draw and 0 losses in their last 3 Premier League games. Aston Villa, coming off a 1-1 home draw against Brentford on August 28, have 1 win, 1 draw and 1 loss in their last 3 Premier League games.
Momentum: Chelsea has been on an upward trend — with 2 wins in their last 3 Premier League games.
Head-to-Head: These two sides last matched up in Premier League action on May 23 and Aston Villa won 2-1.
Projected Leaders
For Chelsea, Romelu Lukaku has a 54.46 percent chance to score. He averages 2.64 shots overall per sim, 1.66 shots on goal per and 0.77 goals per sim.
For Aston Villa, Danny Ings has a 23.96 percent chance to net the ball. He averages 0.95 shots overall per sim, 0.6 shots on goal per and 0.27 goals per sim.
Analyst’s Pick
The Under.
Four-star (out of four) AccuScore hot trend pick on the Under in this one. Average score in simulations is Chelsea 1.94 to Aston Villa 0.79.
