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    Chelsea vs. Arsenal: EPL Game Preview

    Football   |   November 5, 2022

     
    Chelsea clashes with Arsenal in what promises to be a very entertaining game on Sunday. Chelsea is coming off a 4-1 road loss against Brighton & Hove Albion on Saturday while Arsenal beat Nottingham Forest 5-0 at home on Sunday.

    Chelsea is in fifth place in the Premier League standings with 21 points in 12 games while Arsenal is in first place with 31 points in 12 games.

    The player to watch in this game is Raheem Sterling, who has three goals and one assist in 11 Premier League game this season. AccuScore gives Sterling a 36.08 percent chance to score against Arsenal. He has 32 SCA and 1 GCA in 11 Premier League game this season.

    FBRef defines SCA as “the two offensive actions leading directly to a shot, such as passes, dribbles and drawing fouls.” GCA is “the two offensive actions leading directly to a goal, such as passes, dribbles and drawing fouls.” Let’s take a closer look at where the value is at in this matchup.

    DafaNews Picks

    Team to Win (Regular Time)
    • Chelsea 2.65
    • Arsenal 2.70
    • Draw: 3.30

    Spread
    • Chelsea 0 (1.90)
    • Arsenal 0 (1.91)

    Total
    • Over 2.5 (1.86)
    • Under 2.5 (1.95)

    Key Points to Consider

    Head-to-Head: These two sides last matched up in Premier League action on April 20 and Arsenal won 4-2.

    Projected Leaders

    For Chelsea, Raheem Sterling has a 36.08 percent chance to score. He averages 1.23 shots overall per sim, 0.76 shots on goal per and 0.45 goals per sim.

    For Arsenal, Gabriel Jesus has a 21.82 percent chance to net the ball. He averages 1.31 shots overall per sim, 0.77 shots on goal per and 0.25 goals per sim.

    Analyst’s Pick

    Over 2.5 (1.86).

    Three-star (out of four) AccuScore hot trend pick on Chelsea in this one. Average score in simulations is Chelsea 1.64 to Arsenal 1.07.

     

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