Burnley looks to build off back-to-back Premier League wins as they host Crystal Palace Saturday afternoon at Turf Moor.
Let’s take a closer look at where the value is at in this matchup.
Dafabet Odds
Team to Win (Regular Time)
•Burnley FC: 2.37
•Draw: 3.27
•Crystal Palace: 3.30
Spread
•Burnley FC -0.5: 2.31
•Crystal Palace +0.5: 1.64
Total
•Over 2.5: 2.28
•Under 2.5: 1.68
Key Points to Consider
Last 6: Burnley, coming off a 3-0 road win over Watford, have 3 wins and 3 losses in their last 6 overall. Crystal Palace, fresh off a 2-1 home loss vs Liverpool, have 4 losses, 1 draw and 1 win in their last 6.
Some Numbers: Every club hopes to have a reliable offense and defense, but it’s tough to reach that level of consistency on both sides of the ball. Burnley gets pretty close to striking a solid balance, as they are No. 6 in goals scored, and No. 2 in clean sheets.
Head-to-Head: These two sides last matched up in Premier League action on March 2, 2019 when Crystal Palace won, 3-1.
Projected Leaders
Jordan Ayew has a 21 percent chance to score for Crystal Palace. Ayew averages 1.43 shots overall per sim, 0.49 shots on goal per and 0.24 goals per sim.
Ashley Barnes has a 37-to-38 percent chance to score for Burnley. Barnes averages 2.42 shots overall per sim, 0.93 shots on goal per and 0.47 goals per sim.
Analyst’s Pick
Burnley to win.
Four-star (out of four) hot trend pick. Average score after 10,000 simulations is 1.48 – 0.99, in favor of Burnley.
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