Borussia Dortmund clashes with VfL Wolfsburg in what promises to be a very entertaining Bundesliga game on Sunday. Borussia Dortmund is coming off a 1-1 road draw against VfL Bochum on Friday while VfL Wolfsburg beat Mainz 3-0 at home on Sunday.
Borussia Dortmund is in second place in the Bundesliga standings with 61 points in 30 games while VfL Wolfsburg is in seventh place with 46 points in 30 games.
The player to watch in this game is Sébastien Haller, who has four goals and two assists in 15 Bundesliga games this season. AccuScore gives Sébastien Haller a 40.96 percent chance to score against VfL Wolfsburg. He has 24 SCA and 5 GCA in 15 Bundesliga games this season.
FBRef defines SCA as “the two offensive actions leading directly to a shot, such as passes, dribbles and drawing fouls.” GCA is “the two offensive actions leading directly to a goal, such as passes, dribbles and drawing fouls.” Let’s take a closer look at where the value is at in this matchup.
DafaNews Picks
Team to Win (Regular Time)
• Borussia Dortmund 1.51
• VfL Wolfsburg 5.60
• Draw: 4.80
Spread
• Borussia Dortmund -1, -1.5 (2.02)
• VfL Wolfsburg +1, +1.5 (1.81)
Total
• Over 3, 3.5 (1.95)
• Under 3, 3.5 (1.86)
Key Points to Consider
Head-to-Head: These two sides last matched up in Bundesliga action on November 8 and VfL Wolfsburg won 2-0.
Projected Leaders
For Borussia Dortmund, Sébastien Haller has a 40.96 percent chance to score. He averages 1.74 shots overall per sim, 1.11 shots on goal per and 0.53 goals per sim.
For VfL Wolfsburg, Jonas Older Wind has a 14.64 percent chance to net the ball. He averages 0.69 shots overall per sim, 0.3 shots on goal per and 0.16 goals per sim.
Analyst’s Pick
Borussia Dortmund 1.51
Three-star (out of four) AccuScore hot trend pick on Borussia Dortmund in this one. Average score in simulations is Borussia Dortmund 2.06 to VfL Wolfsburg 0.74.
