Two reeling teams clash on Monday when Atalanta hosts Hellas Verona. Atalanta is coming off a 2-1 road loss against Sassuolo on April 10 while Hellas Verona lost 2-0 on the road against Inter Milan on April 10. Atalanta is in eighth place in the Serie A standings with 51 points in 31 games while Hellas Verona is in 10th place with 45 points in 32 games.
The player to watch in this game is Duván Zapata, who has nine goals and four assists in 18 Serie A games this season. AccuScore gives Zapata a 50.54 percent chance to score against Hellas Verona. He has 54 SCA and 8 GCA in 18 Serie A games this season.
FBRef defines SCA as “the two offensive actions leading directly to a shot, such as passes, dribbles and drawing fouls.” GCA is “the two offensive actions leading directly to a goal, such as passes, dribbles and drawing fouls.” Let’s take a closer look at where the value is at in this matchup.
DafaNews Picks
Team to Win (Regular Time)
• Atalanta: 1.66
• Hellas Verona: 4.90
• Draw: 4.10
Spread
• Atalanta: -0.5, -1: 1.86
• Hellas Verona: +0.5, +1: 2.07
Total
• Over 2.5, 3: 1.88
• Under 2.5, 3: 2.02
Key Points to Consider
Last 5: Atalanta, coming off a 2-1 road loss against Sassuolo on April 10, have 3 losses, 1 win and 1 draw in their last 5 Serie A games.
Hellas Verona, coming off a 2-0 road loss against Inter Milan on April 9, have 2 losses, 2 draws and 1 loss in their last 5 Serie A games.
Momentum: Atalanta has been on a downward trend — with 3 losses in their last 5 Serie A games.
Head-to-Head: These two sides last matched up in Serie A action on December 12 and Atalanta won 2-1.
Projected Leaders
For Atalanta, Duván Zapata has a 50.54 percent chance to score. He averages 2.38 shots overall per sim, 1.45 shots on goal per and 0.7 goals per sim.
For Hellas Verona, Gianluca Caprari has a 12.94 percent chance to net the ball. He averages 0.35 shots overall per sim, 0.23 shots on goal per and 0.14 goals per sim.
Analyst’s Pick
Atalanta Moneyline.
Three-star (out of four) AccuScore hot trend pick on Atalanta in this one. Average score in simulations is Atalanta 1.89 to Hellas Verona 0.35.
Valencia have pleaded with the La Liga authorities to postpone its match with Real Madrid… Read More
Daniel Dubois has been given the go-ahead from the International Boxing Federation (IBF) to fight… Read More
Manchester United has seen their attempt to appoint Rúben Amorim as Erik ten Hag's successor… Read More
Reports have emanated from France that Randal Kolo Muani could leave Paris Saint-Germain for as… Read More
Nuri Sahin has come under fire after Borussia Dortmund's start this term, but has received… Read More
In an early showdown between two of the NBA’s most promising young big men, Chet… Read More