Two reeling teams clash on Monday when Atalanta hosts Hellas Verona. Atalanta is coming off a 2-1 road loss against Sassuolo on April 10 while Hellas Verona lost 2-0 on the road against Inter Milan on April 10. Atalanta is in eighth place in the Serie A standings with 51 points in 31 games while Hellas Verona is in 10th place with 45 points in 32 games.
The player to watch in this game is Duván Zapata, who has nine goals and four assists in 18 Serie A games this season. AccuScore gives Zapata a 50.54 percent chance to score against Hellas Verona. He has 54 SCA and 8 GCA in 18 Serie A games this season.
FBRef defines SCA as “the two offensive actions leading directly to a shot, such as passes, dribbles and drawing fouls.” GCA is “the two offensive actions leading directly to a goal, such as passes, dribbles and drawing fouls.” Let’s take a closer look at where the value is at in this matchup.
Team to Win (Regular Time)
• Atalanta: 1.66
• Hellas Verona: 4.90
• Draw: 4.10
• Atalanta: -0.5, -1: 1.86
• Hellas Verona: +0.5, +1: 2.07
• Over 2.5, 3: 1.88
• Under 2.5, 3: 2.02
Key Points to Consider
Last 5: Atalanta, coming off a 2-1 road loss against Sassuolo on April 10, have 3 losses, 1 win and 1 draw in their last 5 Serie A games.
Hellas Verona, coming off a 2-0 road loss against Inter Milan on April 9, have 2 losses, 2 draws and 1 loss in their last 5 Serie A games.
Momentum: Atalanta has been on a downward trend — with 3 losses in their last 5 Serie A games.
Head-to-Head: These two sides last matched up in Serie A action on December 12 and Atalanta won 2-1.
For Atalanta, Duván Zapata has a 50.54 percent chance to score. He averages 2.38 shots overall per sim, 1.45 shots on goal per and 0.7 goals per sim.
For Hellas Verona, Gianluca Caprari has a 12.94 percent chance to net the ball. He averages 0.35 shots overall per sim, 0.23 shots on goal per and 0.14 goals per sim.
Three-star (out of four) AccuScore hot trend pick on Atalanta in this one. Average score in simulations is Atalanta 1.89 to Hellas Verona 0.35.