Aston Villa hosts Luton Town in what promises to be an entertaining Premier League game on Sunday. Aston Villa is coming off a 4-1 home win against West Ham United on Sunday while Luton Town had a 2-2 road draw against Nottingham Forest on Saturday.
Aston Villa is in fifth place in the Premier League standings with 19 points in nine games while Luton Town is in 17th place with five points in nine games.
The player to watch in this game is Moussa Diaby, who has two goals and three assists in nine Premier League games this season. AccuScore gives Moussa Diaby a 49.52 percent chance to score against Luton Town. He has 24 SCA and 4 GCA in nine Premier League games this season.
FBRef defines SCA as “the two offensive actions leading directly to a shot, such as passes, dribbles and drawing fouls.” GCA is “the two offensive actions leading directly to a goal, such as passes, dribbles and drawing fouls.” Let’s take a closer look at where the value is at in this matchup.
DafaNews Picks
Team to Win (Regular Time)
• Aston Villa 1.33
• Luton Town 8.80
• Draw: 5.40
Spread
• Aston Villa -1.5 (1.87)
• Luton Town +1.5 (1.87)
Total
• Over 3 (1.90)
• Under 3 (1.85)
Key Points to Consider
Head-to-Head: These two sides last matched up in English Carabao Cup action on August 10, 2016 and Luton Town won 3-1.
Projected Leaders
For Aston Villa, Moussa Diaby has a 49.52 percent chance to score. He averages 3.19 shots overall per sim, 1.98 shots on goal per and 0.69 goals per sim.
For Luton Town, Carlton Morris has a 41.52 percent chance to net the ball. He averages 2.32 shots overall per sim, 0.97 shots on goal per and 0.54 goals per sim.
Analyst’s Pick
Aston Villa 1.33
Four-star (out of four) AccuScore hot trend pick on Aston Villa in this one. Average score in simulations is Aston Villa 2.39 to Luton Town 1.41.
