Aston Villa hosts Chelsea in what promises to be a very entertaining game on Sunday. Aston Villa is coming off a 2-0 road win against Norwich City on December 14 while Chelsea had a 0-0 road draw against Wolverhampton Wanderers on Sunday. Chelsea is in third place in the Premier League with 38 points in 18 games while Aston Villa is in 10th place with 22 points in 17 games.
The player to watch in this game is Romelu Lukaku. Chelsea’s Belgian striker has played 11 games and has three goals. Look for Lukaku to find more rhythm as the campaign progresses and this game can help him. Let’s take a closer look at where the value is at in this matchup.
DafaNews Picks
Team to Win (Regular Time)
• Aston Villa: 5.80
• Chelsea: 1.60
• Draw: 4.00
Spread
• Aston Villa: +1: 1.85
• Chelsea: -1: 2.08
Total
• Over 2.5: 2.00
• Under 2.5: 1.90
Key Points to Consider
Last 5: Aston Villa, coming off a 2-0 road win against Norwich City on December 14, have 3 wins, 2 losses and 0 draws in their last 5 Premier League games. Chelsea, coming off a 0-0 road draw against Wolverhampton Wanderers on Sunday, have 2 wins, 2 draws and 1 loss in their last 5 Premier League games.
Momentum: Chelsea has been on an upward trend — with 1 loss in their last 5 Premier League games.
Head-to-Head: These two sides last matched up in Premier League action on September 11 and Chelsea won 3-0.
Projected Leaders
For Aston Villa, Ollie Watkins has a 22.92 percent chance to score. He averages 1.34 shots overall per sim, 0.93 shots on goal per and 0.26 goals per sim.
For Chelsea, Mason Mount has a 24.46 percent chance to net the ball. He averages 1.3 shots overall per sim, 0.75 shots on goal per and 0.28 goals per sim.
Analyst’s Pick
Chelsea Moneyline.
Four-star (out of four) AccuScore hot trend pick on Chelsea in this one. Average score in simulations is Chelsea 1.35 to Aston Villa 0.77.
