Aston Villa hosts AFC Bournemouth in what promises to be an entertaining Premier League game on Saturday. Aston Villa is coming off a 1-1 road draw against West Ham United on Sunday, while AFC Bournemouth beat Liverpool 1-0 at home on Saturday.
Aston Villa is in 11th place in the Premier League standings with 35 points in 26 games while AFC Bournemouth is in 18th place with 24 points in 26 games.
The player to watch in this game is Ollie Watkins, who has nine goals and four assists in 25 Premier League games this season. AccuScore gives Ollie Watkins a 33.88 percent chance to score against AFC Bournemouth. He has 54 SCA and 9 GCA in 25 Premier League games this season.
FBRef defines SCA as “the two offensive actions leading directly to a shot, such as passes, dribbles and drawing fouls.” GCA is “the two offensive actions leading directly to a goal, such as passes, dribbles and drawing fouls.” Let’s take a closer look at where the value is at in this matchup.
DafaNews Picks
Team to Win (Regular Time)
• Aston Villa 1.67
• AFC Bournemouth 5.00
• Draw: 4.00
Spread
• Aston Villa -0.5, -1 (1.84)
• AFC Bournemouth +0.5, +1 (1.98)
Total
• Over 2.5 (1.87)
• Under 2.5 (1.94)
Key Points to Consider
Head-to-Head: These two sides last matched up in Premier League action on August 6 and AFC Bournemouth won 2-0.
Projected Leaders
For Aston Villa, Ollie Watkins has a 33.88 percent chance to net the ball. He averages 1.92 shots overall per sim, 1.31 shots on goal per and 0.41 goals per sim.
For AFC Bournemouth, Dominic Solanke has a 17.26 percent chance to score. He averages 1.13 shots overall per sim, 0.59 shots on goal per and 0.19 goals per sim.
Analyst’s Pick
Aston Villa 1.67
Four-star (out of four) AccuScore hot trend pick on Aston Villa in this one. Average score in simulations is Aston Villa 1.22 to AFC Bournemouth 0.68.
