Arsenal clashes with Tottenham Hotspur in what promises to be a very entertaining game on Saturday. Arsenal is coming off a 3-0 road win against Brentford on September 18 while Tottenham Hotspur beat Leicester City 6-2 on September 17. Arsenal leads the Premier League standings with 18 points in seven games while Tottenham Hotspur is in third place with 17 points in seven games.
The player to watch in this game is Gabriel Jesus, who has four goals and three assists in seven Premier League games this season. AccuScore gives Jesus a 29.4 percent chance to score against Tottenham Hotspur. He has 28 SCA and 2 GCA in seven Premier League games this season.
FBRef defines SCA as “the two offensive actions leading directly to a shot, such as passes, dribbles and drawing fouls.” GCA is “the two offensive actions leading directly to a goal, such as passes, dribbles and drawing fouls.” Let’s take a closer look at where the value is at in this matchup.
Team to Win (Regular Time)
• Arsenal: 2.00
• Tottenham Hotspur: 3.55
• Draw: 3.75
• Arsenal -0.5 (1.98)
• Tottenham Hotspur +0.5 (1.84)
• Over 2.5, 3 (1.86)
• Under 2.5, 3 (1.95)
Key Points to Consider
Head-to-Head: These two sides last matched up in Premier League action on May 12 and Tottenham Hotspur won 3-0.
For Arsenal, Gabriel Jesus has a 29.4 percent chance to score. He averages 1.55 shots overall per sim, 0.83 shots on goal per and 0.35 goals per sim.
For Tottenham Hotspur, Harry Kane has a 34.36 percent chance to net the ball. He averages 1.73 shots overall per sim, 1.05 shots on goal per and 0.42 goals per sim.
Four-star (out of four) AccuScore hot trend pick on the total in this one. Average score in simulations is Arsenal 1.46 to Tottenham Hotspur 1.17.
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