Arsenal hosts Liverpool in what should be a very entertaining Premier League game on Sunday. Arsenal is coming off a 3-1 home win against Tottenham Hotspur on Saturday while Liverpool had a 3-3 home draw against Brighton & Hove Albion last Saturday.
Arsenal leads the Premier League standings with 21 points in eight games while Liverpool is in ninth place with 10 points in seven games.
The player to watch in this game is Mohamed Salah, who has two goals and three assists in seven Premier League games this season. AccuScore gives Salah a 32.76 percent chance to score against Arsenal. He has 28 SCA and 4 GCA in seven Premier League games this season.
FBRef defines SCA as “the two offensive actions leading directly to a shot, such as passes, dribbles and drawing fouls.” GCA is “the two offensive actions leading directly to a goal, such as passes, dribbles and drawing fouls.” Let’s take a closer look at where the value is at in this matchup.
DafaNews Picks
Team to Win (Regular Time)
• Arsenal: 2.60
• Liverpool: 3.60
• Draw: 2.60
Spread
• Arsenal 0 (1.97)
• Liverpool 0 (1.96)
Total
• Over 2.5, 3 (1.85)
• Under 2.5, 3 (2.05)
Key Points to Consider
Head-to-Head: These two sides last matched up in Premier League action on March 16 and Liverpool won 2-0.
Projected Leaders
For Arsenal, Gabriel Jesus has a 25.86 percent chance to net the ball. He averages 1.42 shots overall per sim, 0.81 shots on goal per and 0.3 goals per sim.
For Liverpool, Mohamed Salah has a 32.76 percent chance to score. He averages 1.72 shots overall per sim, 0.87 shots on goal per and 0.39 goals per sim.
Analyst’s Pick
The Under.
Four-star (out of four) AccuScore hot trend pick on the total in this one. Average score in simulations is Liverpool 1.27 to Arsenal 1.26.
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