Let’s take a closer look at where the value is at in this matchup.
Dafabet Odds
Team to Win (Regular Time)
•Burnley FC: 3.80
•Draw: 3.58
•Arsenal: 2.05
Spread
•Burnley +0.5: 1.88
•Arsenal -0.5: 2.05
Total
•Over 2.5: 1.95
•Under 2.5: 1.95
Key Points to Consider
Last 6: Burnley, coming off a 2-1 home loss vs Norwich, have 3 wins and 3 losses in their last 6 overall. Arsenal, coming off a 2-1 road win vs Bournemouth, have 3 wins and 3 draws in their last six overall.
Momentum: Burnley, despite losing their last time out in the FA Cup, are playing with some momentum in the Premier League. They have back-to-back wins, including one over Manchester United at Old Trafford.
Head-to-Head:These two sides last matched up on Aug. 17, 2019 when Arsenal won, 2-1.
Projected Leaders
For Arsenal, Alexander Lacazette has a 32-to-33 percent chance to score. He averages 2.35 shots overall per sim, 0.93 shots on goal per and 0.39 goals per sim.
For Burnley, Chris Wood has a 39 percent chance to net the ball. He averages 2.33 shots overall, 1.11 shots on goal per and 0.50 goals per sim.
Analyst’s Pick
The OVER.
Four-star (out of four) AccuScore hot trend pick on the total in this one. Average total score in simulations is 2.85 goals.
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