Arsenal hosts Brentford in what should be a very entertaining Premier League game on Saturday. Arsenal is coming off a 1-0 road loss against Everton on Saturday while Brentford beat Southampton 3-0 at home on Saturday.
Arsenal leads the Premier League standings with 50 points in 20 games while Brentford is in seventh place with 33 points in 21 games.
The player to watch in this game is Martin Ødegaard, who has eight goals and five assists in 19 Premier League games this season. AccuScore gives Martin Ødegaard a 33.24 percent chance to score against Brentford. He has 89 SCA and 11 GCA in 19 Premier League games this season.
FBRef defines SCA as “the two offensive actions leading directly to a shot, such as passes, dribbles and drawing fouls.” GCA is “the two offensive actions leading directly to a goal, such as passes, dribbles and drawing fouls.” Let’s take a closer look at where the value is at in this matchup.
DafaNews Picks
Team to Win (Regular Time)
• Arsenal 1.38
• Brentford 8.00
• Draw 5.00
Spread
• Arsenal -1, -1,5 (1.82)
• Brentford +1, +1.5 (2.00)
Total
• Over 2.5, 3 (1.89)
• Under 2.5, 3 (1.92)
Key Points to Consider
Head-to-Head: These two sides last matched up in Premier League action on September 18 and Arsenal won 3-0.
Projected Leaders
For Arsenal, Martin Ødegaard has a 33.24 percent chance to net the ball. He averages 1.7 shots overall per sim, 1.04 shots on goal per and 0.4 goals per sim.
For Brentford, Ivan Toney has a 28.88 percent chance to score. He averages 1.34 shots overall per sim, 0.63 shots on goal per and 0.34 goals per sim.
Analyst’s Pick
Over 2.5, 3 (1.89)
Four-star (out of four) AccuScore hot trend pick on the total in this one. Average score in simulations is Arsenal 2.03 to Brentford 0.95.
