AFC Bournemouth hosts Nottingham Forest in what should be a very entertaining Premier League game on Saturday. AFC Bournemouth is coming off a 2-0 road loss against Brentford on Saturday while Nottingham Forest beat Leicester City 2-0 at home on Saturday.
AFC Bournemouth is in 17th place in the Premier League standings with 16 points in 19 games while Nottingham Forest is in 13th place with 20 points in 19 games.
The player to watch in this game is Brennan Johnson, who has four goals and one assist in 19 Premier League games this season. AccuScore gives Brennan Johnson a 17.28 percent chance to score against AFC Bournemouth. He has 24 SCA and 4 GCA in 19 Premier League games this season.
FBRef defines SCA as “the two offensive actions leading directly to a shot, such as passes, dribbles and drawing fouls.” GCA is “the two offensive actions leading directly to a goal, such as passes, dribbles and drawing fouls.” Let’s take a closer look at where the value is at in this matchup.
DafaNews Picks
Team to Win (Regular Time)
• AFC Bournemouth 2.60
• Nottingham Forest 2.80
• Draw: 3.25
Spread
• AFC Bournemouth 0 (1.84)
• Nottingham Forest 0 (1.97)
Total
• Over 2, 2.5 (1.79)
• Under 2, 2.5 (2.03)
Key Points to Consider
Head-to-Head: These two sides last matched up in Premier League action on September 3 and AFC Bournemouth won 3-2.
Projected Leaders
For AFC Bournemouth, Kieffer Moore has a 19.48 percent chance to net the ball. He averages 0.48 shots overall per sim, 0.28 shots on goal per and 0.22 goals per sim.
For Nottingham Forest, Brennan Johnson has a 17.28 percent chance to score. He averages 1.18 shots overall per sim, 0.68 shots on goal per and 0.19 goals per sim.
Analyst’s Pick
Under 2, 2.5 (2.03)
Four-star (out of four) AccuScore hot trend pick on the total in this one. Average score in simulations is AFC Bournemouth 0.75 to Nottingham Forest 0.72.
