AC Ajaccio clashes with Marseille in what promises to be a very entertaining Ligue 1 game on Saturday. AC Ajaccio is coming off a 3-0 road loss against Lens on Saturday while Marseille lost 2-1 at home against Brest on Saturday.
AC Ajaccio is in 19th place in the Ligue 1 standings with 23 points in 37 games while Marseille is in third place with 73 points in 37 games.
The player to watch in this game is Alexis Sánchez, who has 14 goals and three assists in 34 Ligue 1 games this season. AccuScore gives Alexandre Lacazette a 47.76 percent chance to score against AC Ajaccio. He has 113 SCA and 11 GCA in 34 Ligue 1 games this season.
FBRef defines SCA as “the two offensive actions leading directly to a shot, such as passes, dribbles and drawing fouls.” GCA is “the two offensive actions leading directly to a goal, such as passes, dribbles and drawing fouls.” Let’s take a closer look at where the value is at in this matchup.
DafaNews Picks
Team to Win (Regular Time)
• AC Ajaccio 7.60
• Marseille 1.39
• Draw 5.00
Spread
• AC Ajaccio +1, +1.5 (2.06)
• Marseille -1, -1.5 (1.84)
Total
• Over 2.5, 3 (1.81)
• Under 2.5, 3 (2.07)
Key Points to Consider
Head-to-Head: These two sides last matched up in Ligue 1 action on October 8 and AC Ajaccio won 2-1.
Projected Leaders
For AC Ajaccio, Vincent Marchetti has a 12.28 percent chance to score. He averages 0.94 shots overall per sim, 0.43 shots on goal per and 0.13 goals per sim.
For Marseille, Alexis Sánchez has a 47.76 percent chance to net the ball. He averages 1.55 shots overall per sim, 1.09 shots on goal per and 0.66 goals per sim.
Analyst’s Pick
Marseille 1.39
Four-star (out of four) AccuScore hot trend pick on Marseille in this one. Average score in simulations is Marseille 1.95 to AC Ajaccio 0.49.
